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David Montgomery

David Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 59.6 per game on average).

The projections expect David Montgomery to notch 11.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

Among all RBs, David Montgomery ranks in the 82nd percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 49.7% of the workload in his offense's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 39.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Vikings defensive ends rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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