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David Montgomery
NFL · Player Props
David Montgomery
RB · Detroit Lions
Carries
Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:26 AM UTC
NFL Props David Montgomery Carries

David Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Lions to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.5% run rate.
  • The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
  • The projections expect David Montgomery to earn 13.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • After comprising 39.4% of his team's rushing play calls last season, David Montgomery has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 58.1%.
Favors Under
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
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