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David Bell

David Bell Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

David Bell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line has allowed their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

David Bell's 9.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the worst in football: 22nd percentile for wide receivers.

David Bell has been among the bottom pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a lowly 1.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 18th percentile among WRs.

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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