David Bell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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David Bell

NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

David Bell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-204/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -204.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
David Bell has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, completing a stellar 77.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
The Cleveland Browns O-line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (64.7%) versus wide receivers this year (64.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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