David Bell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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David Bell

NFL · Player Props

David Bell

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
David Bell has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, completing a stellar 77.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 9.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
David Bell has accrued a meager 15.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among wideouts.
David Bell has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging just 16.0 yards per game while checking in at the 14th percentile among WRs.
David Bell has been among the worst wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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