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David Bell

David Bell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+115/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 68.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • David Bell's 13.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the league: 25th percentile for WRs.
  • David Bell has been among the worst WRs in the league this year, averaging just 16.0 yards per game while ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts.
  • David Bell has been among the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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