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David Bell

David Bell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Bell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.1%) to wideouts since the start of last season (71.1%).
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has conceded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 129.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.78 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the NFL.

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