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David Bell

David Bell Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
David Bell Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+327/-610).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +361 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +327.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Bell to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the goal line this week (10.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.1% in games he has played).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • David Bell has been among the best possession receivers in the league, completing an impressive 80.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 90th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • David Bell has totaled a paltry 16.0 air yards per game this year: just 25th percentile among wide receivers.
  • David Bell ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

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