Davante Adams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 4:07 PM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+124/-144).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
While Davante Adams has garnered 14.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Los Angeles's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 28.6%.
When it comes to air yards, Davante Adams ranks in the towering 99th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 116.0 per game.
Davante Adams's 75.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 63.0.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a measly 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
The Eagles defense has given up the 2nd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.50 per game since the start of last season.

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