Davante Adams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-102/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Davante Adams has compiled a massive 105.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among WRs.
Davante Adams rates in the 88th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a massive 62.3 mark since the start of last season.
Davante Adams grades out in the 100th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.82 per game.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Los Angeles Rams have been the most run-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 77.8% red zone run rate.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The projections expect Davante Adams to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game near the goal line in this week's game (28.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (34.0% in games he has played).