Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 2:57 PM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The projections expect Davante Adams to notch 8.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
Davante Adams's 75.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 63.0.
With an exceptional 4.1 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Davante Adams ranks as one of the best WRs in the game in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (59.8%).