Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 21, 2026 8:02 PM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-175/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -359 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Davante Adams is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.8 targets.
With a remarkable 24.8% Target% (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Davante Adams ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.
With an outstanding 3.8 adjusted receptions per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Davante Adams rates as one of the best wide receivers in the league in football.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Rams to pass on 57.0% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season.
Davante Adams has been one of the most unreliable receivers in football, completing just 54.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 10th percentile among WRs