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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the predictive model to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.5 targets.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.4 per game) since the start of last season.

Davante Adams's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 86.5.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Browns defense has surrendered a puny 54.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the smallest rate in the NFL.

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