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Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.Opposing QBs have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense last year: 8th-most in the NFL.The projections expect Davante Adams to accumulate 9.8 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.With a remarkable 34.3% Target% (100th percentile) last year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Right now, the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in the league (57.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are projected by the model to call only 61.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league last year, totaling a lowly 54.8 plays per game.Last year, the tough Chargers defense has allowed a puny 62.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 9th-lowest rate in football.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been exceptional last year, profiling as the 6th-best in the NFL.
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