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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's contest.

In this week's game, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.0 targets.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point spike in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Davante Adams has been more heavily used in his offense's passing offense.

The Raiders O-line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Davante Adams is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 5.6 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (55.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.

With a weak 59.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (21st percentile) this year, Davante Adams has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football among WRs.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Miami's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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