Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accrue 9.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 30.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Davante Adams has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Davante Adams has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 59.6% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile among wideouts
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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