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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-155/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Davante Adams has run a route on 98.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
  • Davante Adams's receiving skills have worsened this year, notching a measly 5.7 yards per game vs 7.4 last year.
  • Davante Adams's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 57.0%.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.4%) to WRs this year (59.4%).

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