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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 11.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • Davante Adams has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 34.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 64.4%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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