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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to garner 11.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Davante Adams's pass-catching performance declined this year, compiling a measly 6.3 yards per game compared to 7.4 last year.
  • Davante Adams's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 60.8%.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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