Davante Adams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-162/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to garner 11.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 29.1% this year, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Davante Adams's pass-catching performance declined this year, compiling a measly 6.3 yards per game compared to 7.4 last year.
Davante Adams's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.3% to 60.8%.
The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.