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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Davante Adams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to total 11.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Davante Adams has been a big part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 32.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (68%) versus wideouts this year (68.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Davante Adams's receiving skills have diminished this season, compiling a mere 5.9 yards per game compared to 7.4 last season.
  • Davante Adams's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 58.6%.

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