Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 4:07 PM EST

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The projections expect Davante Adams to notch 8.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Davante Adams ranks in the towering 99th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 116.0 per game.
Davante Adams's 75.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 63.0.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (59.8%).
Since the start of last season, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.8 yards.