Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 75.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this contest, Davante Adams is predicted by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.8 targets.
Davante Adams has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 32.9% this year, which places him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
As it relates to air yards, Davante Adams ranks in the towering 97th percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a remarkable 121.0 per game.
The Raiders offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

Right now, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Davante Adams has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (75.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).

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