Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 80.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 83.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to notch 10.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Davante Adams has totaled far more air yards this season (125.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).
Davante Adams's 79.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 100th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Davante Adams's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 75.8% to 62.0%.
The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) vs. WRs this year (63.2%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, giving up 7.96 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

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