Davante Adams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Davante Adams

NFL · Player Props

Davante Adams

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 96.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 94.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
Davante Adams has accrued significantly more air yards this year (115.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).
Davante Adams's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 98th percentile for wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Davante Adams has accumulated many fewer receiving yards per game (89.0) this season than he did last season (101.0).
Davante Adams's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.8% to 62.9%.

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