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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +133 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Davante Adams has accumulated a whopping 105.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among WRs.

Davante Adams ranks in the 98th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 0.70 per game.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to be much less involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (28.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (35.7% in games he has played).

Davante Adams's 67.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 76.7.

Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 55.0%.

More Davante Adams Player Props

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