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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (31.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.0% in games he has played).

Davante Adams has accumulated many more air yards this year (124.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).

Davante Adams's 78.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 100th percentile for wideouts.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Davante Adams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 75.8% to 62.8%.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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