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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Darren Waller has run a route on 88.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs.

THE BLITZ projects Darren Waller to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.3%) to tight ends since the start of last season (64.3%).

The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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