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Darren Waller

Darren Waller Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Darren Waller Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -154.
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Darren Waller has run a route on 89.3% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile among TEs.

  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Darren Waller has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in a mere 57.3% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (70%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (70.0%).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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