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Darren Waller
NFL · Player Props
Darren Waller
TE · New York Giants
Receiving Yards
Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:16 PM UTC
NFL Props Darren Waller Receiving Yards

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Giants are a huge 13-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Giants offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • The leading projections forecast Darren Waller to accumulate 6.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • Darren Waller's 43.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 35.9.
Favors Under
  • After accumulating 65.0 air yards per game last season, Darren Waller has seen a big decrease this season, now averaging 45.0 per game.
  • The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Darren Waller's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a a significant reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 51.0 rate.
  • Darren Waller's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.8 mark.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus tight ends this year, yielding 6.10 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-fewest in the league.
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