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Darren Waller
NFL · Player Props
Darren Waller
TE · Las Vegas Raiders
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 11, 2022 12:15 AM UTC
NFL Props Darren Waller Receiving Yards

Darren Waller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Darren Waller has notched quite a few less air yards this year (70.0 per game) than he did last year (86.0 per game).
  • Darren Waller's 42.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 56.6.
  • Darren Waller has been among the worst TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
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