Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to total 13.8 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (54.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.0% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most yards in football (142 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
Darrell Henderson has run for substantially fewer yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).

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