Darrell Henderson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+207/-313).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +226 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +207.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-most touchdowns in the NFL (1.22 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Rams rank as the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 36.3% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone for it on 4th down just 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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