Darrell Henderson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Darrell Henderson has run a route on 60.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Darrell Henderson's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 69.6% to 81.5%.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus RBs this year (68.7%).
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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