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Darrell Henderson

Darrell Henderson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Darrell Henderson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Darrell Henderson has run a route on 61.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Darrell Henderson has posted a whopping 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
  • Darrell Henderson has been among the weakest RBs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 5.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 16th percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 10th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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