Darrell Henderson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (41.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (56.8% in games he has played).
The Arizona Cardinals defensive tackles profile as the 6th-best collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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