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Darrell Henderson

Darrell Henderson Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Darrell Henderson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to garner 15.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Darrell Henderson has received 57.8% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-least run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.0% run rate.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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