Darrell Henderson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM EST

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to garner 15.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Darrell Henderson has received 57.8% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-least run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.0% run rate.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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