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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this week (16.7% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (23.8% in games he has played).

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