Darnell Mooney Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
Darnell Mooney's 81.1% Route Participation% this season shows a noteable reduction in his passing attack volume over last season's 92.8% figure.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Darnell Mooney's receiving performance has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 2.3 adjusted receptions vs 3.7 last year.

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