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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Darnell Mooney's 81.1% Route Participation% this season shows a noteable reduction in his passing attack volume over last season's 92.8% figure.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving performance has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 2.3 adjusted receptions vs 3.7 last year.

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