Darnell Mooney Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
This year, the poor Vikings pass defense has given up a monstrous 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Darnell Mooney has been less involved as a potential target this season (80.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (92.8%).
Darnell Mooney's 2.3 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.7 rate.
Darnell Mooney's 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a substantial drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 69.8% rate.

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