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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • This year, the poor Vikings pass defense has given up a monstrous 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Darnell Mooney has been less involved as a potential target this season (80.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (92.8%).
  • Darnell Mooney's 2.3 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.7 rate.
  • Darnell Mooney's 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a substantial drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 69.8% rate.

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