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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are anticipated by the projections to call only 60.8 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Darnell Mooney's 81.0% Route% this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his air attack usage over last season's 92.8% mark.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Bears ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.
  • Darnell Mooney's receiving skills have worsened this year, notching a mere 2.4 adjusted catches vs 3.7 last year.

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