Darnell Mooney Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (69.6%).
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 118.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 52.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to be much less involved in his team's passing game this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.8% in games he has played).

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