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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Darnell Mooney has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 25.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Darnell Mooney's skills in grinding out extra yardage have improved this season, averaging 15.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.28 rate last season.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (184.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. WRs this year, conceding 10.23 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
  • The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 49.2 plays per game.
  • Darnell Mooney has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (88.0 per game).

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