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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have 131.8 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

Darius Slayton has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 61.1% of snaps vs 79.7% last year.

The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.6 per game) since the start of last season.

The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.4%) to wideouts since the start of last season (59.4%).

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