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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -187 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -222.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Darius Slayton has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a mere 50.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among WRs
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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