Darius Slayton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -187 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -222.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Darius Slayton has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a mere 50.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among WRs
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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