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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Darius Slayton's 44.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 37.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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