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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
  • Darius Slayton's pass-catching performance been refined this year, accumulating 3.2 yards per game vs a mere 1.9 last year.
  • Darius Slayton's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 46.0% to 68.6%.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (69%) to wide receivers this year (69.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Darius Slayton has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (70.2%).
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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