Darius Slayton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-149).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
Darius Slayton's pass-catching performance been refined this year, accumulating 3.2 yards per game vs a mere 1.9 last year.
Darius Slayton's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 46.0% to 68.6%.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (69%) to wide receivers this year (69.0%).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Darius Slayton has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (70.2%).
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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