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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+324/-600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +348 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +324.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • Darius Slayton has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Darius Slayton has notched quite a few less air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
  • Darius Slayton's 26.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 37.2.
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Darius Slayton has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a mere 50.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among WRs

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