Darius Slayton Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+324/-600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +348 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +324.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Darius Slayton has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Darius Slayton has notched quite a few less air yards this season (32.0 per game) than he did last season (57.0 per game).
Darius Slayton's 26.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 37.2.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Darius Slayton has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a mere 50.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among WRs

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