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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-198/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Giants being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.

The Giants have been the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.06 seconds per play.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.

In racking up a whopping 38.2 pass attempts per game this year, Daniel Jones ranks among the top quarterbacks in football (92nd percentile) in this regard.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the stout Seahawks defense has given up a feeble 0.75 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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