My Account Log Out

reorder

Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Giants to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Vikings defense last year: 7th-most in the league.

Last year, the weak Minnesota Vikings defense has been torched for a monstrous 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the NFL.

The Minnesota cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst group of CBs in the league last year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Giants to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (52.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New York Giants.

The New York O-line profiles as the worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all air attack stats across the board.

Daniel Jones has been among the worst touchdown passers in football last year, averaging a terrible 0.33 per game while grading out in the 23rd percentile.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™