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Daniel Jones
NFL · Player Props
Daniel Jones
QB · New York Giants
TD Passes
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023 Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Daniel Jones TD Passes

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-260/+210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +210.

Favors Over
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a massive 62.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the shaky Raiders defense has yielded a staggering 76.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 51.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Giants to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Daniel Jones to throw 31.9 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.4 per game) this year.
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